The Oldest Bad Joke on Wall Street
It’s that time of year again. The Wall Street wizards look in their crystal balls at the next year of stock performance.
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stock market
What Long-Term Stock Returns Should I Assume in My Plan?
People in the retirement planning community (especially online) do not have the right mental models long-term stock market returns.
Moneyball’s Essential Stock Market Lesson
An overemphasis on statistics leads to poor conclusions and poor decisions. When numbers replace thought, bad outcomes abound. It certainly happens in investing.
Path Dependence: A Lesson for New Investors
The path to a result is as important as the result itself. It makes a world of difference to new investors.
Timing the Future Market: CAPE vs. Future Returns
Can the current CAPE ratio help us predict the future stock market return?!
Reader Question: “The Stock Market Isn’t Doing Too Hot…”
weeks ago. Should she make any changes based on current market conditions??
Are We In The Best Stock Market Period…Ever?
Question: Will today’s young investors ever see a better stock market than in the past 12 years?
The Market Crash Is Coming! (…Eventually)
The stock market crash is coming…eventually. But trying to anticipate that crash isn’t too smart. Let’s see why.
Monte Carlo Simulation
From roulette wheels to hurricane paths, Monte Carlo simulations help us model random scenarios, pulling signal from the noise.
Stock Market Success: Luck or Skill?
You’ll be surprised by the recent results of the Best Interest Stock Picking Competition. Was the stock market success just luck?