The Madness of Forecasting
A national championship, no electricity for miles around, and a dead classmate. What happened? Forecasting failed us.
The Best Interest ยป
luck
Yes, You Can Beat the Market
The question isn’t, “Can you beat the market.” Of course, you can. The question is, “Why bother trying?”
Jeff Bezos and the Meritocracy Kings
The cream rises to the top. The most fit deserve the most reward. Bah! That’s rubbish. Meritocracy ignores luck and survivorship bias, and we need to fix it
Stock Market Success: Luck or Skill?
You’ll be surprised by the recent results of the Best Interest Stock Picking Competition. Was the stock market success just luck?