Stock picking, “EMH,” and You
Think you can beat the market? Think again. Something called “EMH” makes stock picking much harder than you might think. But we have other options.
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Results-Oriented Thinking: A Bias You Need to Break
Don’t judge a book by its cover, and don’t judge a decision by its result. Results-oriented thinking is a logical fallacy.
Stock Market Success: Luck or Skill?
You’ll be surprised by the recent results of the Best Interest Stock Picking Competition. Was the stock market success just luck?
Buffett’s Way vs. Index Funds
Warren Buffett is great. Index funds area also great. But they are not the same! How do we square that circle?
The Oldest Bad Joke on Wall Street
It’s that time of year again. The Wall Street wizards look in their crystal balls at the next year of stock performance.
Some Bets I’m Willing to Make
I care about long periods and large compounded returns over those periods. The odds are clearly in the investor’s favor when looking at those time scales.
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